Yiaga Africa has verified the result announced by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), stating that it is consistent with parallel vote tabulation estimate.
The Executive Director , Samson Itodo in a press statement issued on Sunday said based on reports from 96%(241 of 250) of sampled polling units.
According to him, Yiaga Africa’s statistical analysis shows that the APC should receive between 39.1% and 46.3% of the vote; the PDP should receive between 52.5% and 59.7% of the vote; while no other party will receive more than 1% of the vote share.
He said INEC official result for the 2020 Edo State gubernatorial election is consistent with the Yiaga Africa WTV estimate.
He further said had the official results been changed at the ward, LGA or state collation centres, the official results would not have fallen within the Yiaga Africa WTV estimated ranges.
“Because the official results fall within the estimated ranges, governorship contestants, parties, and voters should have confidence that INEC’s official results for the 2020 Edo gubernatorial election reflect the ballots cast at polling units.
“It is important to highlight that the counting process at polling units was transparent and included representatives from the two political parties that received the most votes.
“ At 94% of polling units, counting had concluded by 4:30 pm.Incidents of intimidation, harassment or violence were reported in only 4% of polling units during counting.
“ Further, at 94% of polling units, APC party agents received a copy of the EC.8A results form and at 97% of polling units, PDP party agents received a copy of the EC.8A results form.
“At 81% of polling units, party agents from all parties present received a copy of the EC.8A results form.
“INEC’s official results for turnout and rejected ballots are also consistent with Yiaga Africa WTV estimates.
“Yiaga Africa is able to estimate that turnout is 27.4% with a margin of error of ±2.1% (between 25.3% and 29.5%) while INEC’s official turnout is 25%.
“Similarly, Yiaga Africa estimates rejected ballots are 1.8% with a margin of error of ± 0.6% (between 1.2% and 2.4%) while INEC’s official result for rejected ballots is 2.3%. These results are consistent,” he said.
